In Defense of Judge Roy Moore
By Joshua D. Zambrano
(Jzyehoshua)
Other False Claims
The following are other false claims that have been made towards Judge Moore:
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MSNBC's Joy Reid distorted Roy Moore's criticism of new rights made after 1965, and sought to portray him as opposed to civil rights by insinuating that he was referring to the 1965 Voting Rights Act. He was not. It was a clear reference to Griswold v. Connecticut (1965). Reid also attacked Pastor Mark Hurd for defending Roy Moore using this false basis. The false claim was also repeated by MSNBC's Rachel Maddow.
Griswold originated the concept of Fundamental Rights and specifically the idea that a right to privacy exists under the 14th Amendment's Due Process clause as enumerated under the penumbra (umbrella) of the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 9th Amendments. This was then used in Roe v. Wade (1973) to assert a constitutional right to abortion, and in Lawrence v. Texas (2003) to assert a right to gay marriage, even though most states at the time of the 14th Amendment's passage made abortion and sodomy illegal.
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In recent weeks, several false polls have come out to claim that Doug Jones is leading. However, the voter turnout advantages used in the polls show that the pollsters are incorrectly weighting or sampling unrepresentative of Alabama voters. Republicans in Alabama should have at least a +20 advantage in voter turnout. President Trump for example got 27.7% more votes in Alabama than his Democrat opponent, Hillary Clinton. The difference was even greater in the 2017 special election, with Republicans having a 43.9% turnout advantage over Democrats (71.9% of all voters voted in the Republican primary, 423,282, but only 28.0% of voters voted in the Democrat primary, 165,006).
"The breakdown in the final sample by party affiliation is Republican +22, lower than a recent Opinion Savvy Survey which also showed the race tied (which was Republican +29), but significantly higher than a Fox News Poll that showed Jones with an 8 point lead (which was Republican +6)."
-Michael Patrick Leahy, Breitbart News
As such, clearly false polls can be identified as those which show far less than a +20 Republican turnout advantage. These include:
* The November 14-15 Gravis Marketing poll which falsely claimed Doug Jones is leading by 5%. The crosstabs show only a +15 Republican voter turnout (Q16) which while not as low as other polls is still too low to be accurate.
* The November 13-15 FOX News poll which falsely claimed Doug Jones is leading by 8%. The crosstabs show just a +6 Republican voter turnout (scroll down to 24, Political Identification), far too low to be accurate.
* The November 9-11 JMC Analytics poll which falsely claimed Doug Jones is leading by 4%. The crosstabs show a ridiculous -2 Republican voter turnout (page 5), impossibly low to be representative.
By contrast, trustworthy polls can be distinguished as those with Republican voter turnout advantages in the 20 to 30 point range, reflective of recent election turnouts.
* The November 21 Sky Research poll which shows Judge Moore leading by 7.1%. The poll accurately shows a +24.6 Republican voter turnout.
* The November 13 FOX 10/Strategy Research poll which shows Judge Moore leading by 6%. The statistics accurately depict a +28 Republican voter turnout (see the 3:30 mark in the video).
* The November 9 Opinion Savvy poll which shows Moore and Jones tied. The crosstabs accurately show a +29 Republican voter turnout. (10)